Tag Archives: RSS

Saffron Rise In The East

A couple of years ago, could anyone have imagined a colour, which is not red, trending in Bengal? Well, saffron is the new colour of politics in Bengal. Three years ago, when the Mamata Bannerjee led Trinamool conquered the Writers’ building in Kolkata and ended years of Left rule, no one would have imagined that the Left would become a non-entity in the next Assembly Election. Even fewer would have imagined that it would be BJP challenging the TMC.
It all started a few months ahead of the Lok Sabha elections. The Panchayat elections in West Bengal had washed away the Left parties from the rural areas. The elections had also shown the people that TMC is no different from the Left. Bitter fights took place during the Panchayat Elections, blood was drawn, Left party offices were burnt by TMC workers, tempers of both the cadres were high, violent clashes took place outside the polling booths, hundreds of people were forced to abstain from Voting. Bengal realized that no “Poribartan” had taken place. But there was no alternative. Then the chit fund scam took place and the groundswell of anger against the Mamata Bannerjee led TMC govt. started rising.
The declaration of Narendra Modi as the prime-ministerial candidate of the BJP, gave fresh lease of energy to the BJP cadres.
As Narendra Modi started campaigning, the RSS strengthened in West Bengal. The number of BJP workers was increasing. Soon BJP grew confident enough to hold a Narendra Modi rally in the massive Brigade Parade Ground. And more astonishingly, most parts of the ground were filled with supporters. Modi, knowing of BJP’s weak base in Bengal, didn’t attack Mamata Bannerjee. But as the ground reports got more and more positive in nature, BJP changed its course. And this changed the course of the politics in West Bengal.
BJP became a bitter rival of the TMC, its numbers sored high, Didi was referring to BJP more than Left in the speeches. The infiltrator-refuge issue was voiced again and provided new base to the BJP. BJP and RSS went from strength to strength in Bengal and got an unimaginable 17% vote share.
The BJP had built a base in West Bengal and capitalized on it to win a seat on its own in the recent bypolls, a feat it had never reached in its history. Now, it is not the left, but the “Right of Centre” BJP that is challenging the TMC regime proving the age old saying that “Politics is the game of uncertainties”. 2016 is going to write a new chapter in the politics of West Bengal.

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Is Narendra Modi knocking on the door of 7 RCR?

After a lengthy election process, the future of the country is sealed and the Exit Polls are out. I write this blog after all the Exit Polls are out. The exit polls are unanimous on the issue of NDA forming the next government. Some exit polls are predicting an outright majority for the NDA where as others predict that NDA is shouting distance away from majority. Exit polls have been incorrect in the past, but have most of the time hinted at the way the country is thinking. The ground reports too speak of a possible Congress rout and BJP surging past its highest tally. Even if NDA does not reach 272, it is spoilt for choice as numerous parties like AIADMK, BJD, YSR Congress, TRS, et cetera would be ready for giving outside support to NDA. So if BJP gets 190+, we can safely consider that the next govt. would be a Modi Sarkar.

Now the question is how will the results affect the Congress Party? We can safely assume that the Congress Party is no where near winning this election. Congress will decide its future course according to the tally it gets. If Congress gets 115+ M.P.’s, it will try to form a government with the help of regional parties but if its tally is 100-, as predicted by various exit polls, then the Congress would prefer to sit in the opposition benches nor would it be able to form any government with such a low tally. If Congress sits in the opposition benches, the next important thing for Congress, to make a comeback would be the Assembly Elections in Maharashtra and Haryana which would be held later in the year. But one thing is sure, the blame of defeat would be put on Manmohan Singh by the Congress leaders.

If NDA forms a stable government at the centre, the role of the regional parties would be limited in the Lok Sabha. But regional parties would still be important if BJP decides to act on its core issues of article 370 and Uniform Civil Code. The RSS would too have an important role in the government.

It would be interesting to watch who will be the third largest party in the Lok Sabha- TMC , AIADMK or Left?